============================================================================== x x x CLASS 6/75 for STAT 1618 x x x ============================================================================== The NEXT SUCCESSFUL INTERSECTION should occur approximately 33 STAR EVENTS after IMPACTED STAR EVENT # 68 of 02/17/17 NEXT Projected Successful STAR EVENT : # 101 which should occur 1 STAR EVENT(s) from # 100 with TMAX <===> 1 where the requested interval for TMAX <===> [ 1 , 1 ] ============================================================================== Pr( SUCCESS of EVENT E ) 1 STAR EVENT(s) from FINAL STAR EVENT # 100 of 06/09/17 determined with PROB = 1.13 % Utilizing a NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION ============================================================================== Pr( E has SUCCESS # 3 at TRIAL # 4 ) = 29.63 % <==> 1 / 3 (apr.) ============================================================================== Characterizing this NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL Distribution ... The Current # of SUCCESSES = M0 = 2 and The Current # of Sequential TRIALS = JMAX = 3 IDELTA = 100 * Pr ( EVENT E is [*]-Qualified ) = 30 <==> 100 * ( 3 Choose 2 ) * ( PP(L) ** 3 ) * ( QQ(L) ** 1 )) ============================================================================== 3 <==> II Impacted STAR EVENT Indices vs. Events with KCT = 33 ===> 6 45 68 3 Corresponding BINARY SUCCESS-FAILURE Indices ====> PPP % = 29.63 % 1 0 1 ============================================================================== Pr( The Next PPP BINARY SUCCESS will Occ. by Trial # 101 ) = 29.63 % ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== (PP,QQ,PPP): .30000E-01 .97000E+00 .29630E+00 and 1/KCT = 1 / 88 ============================================================================== 1 TEST EVENT(s) were FILTERED from ============================================================================== CODE <======> GREEN MTC = 100 - 68 = 32 EVENT satisfies: II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII Code = GREEN ====> the gen. BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3]-[*]-Qualified ============================================================================== 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII PROB_MIN <=====> The Selected LOWER BOUND for PPP = .02 % ============================================================================== The NEXT SUCCESSFUL INTERSECTION should occur approximately 33 STAR EVENTS after IMPACTED STAR EVENT # 68 of 02/17/17 NEXT Projected Successful STAR EVENT : # 101 which should occur 1 STAR EVENT(s) from # 100 with TMAX <===> 1 where the requested interval for TMAX <===> [ 1 , 1 ] ============================================================================== Pr( SUCCESS of EVENT E ) 1 STAR EVENT(s) from FINAL STAR EVENT # 100 of 06/09/17 determined with PROB = 1.13 % Utilizing a NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION ============================================================================== Pr( E has SUCCESS # 4 at TRIAL # 4 ) = 100.00 % <==> 1 / 1 (apr.) ============================================================================== Characterizing this NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL Distribution ... The Current # of SUCCESSES = M0 = 3 and The Current # of Sequential TRIALS = JMAX = 3 IDELTA = 100 * Pr ( EVENT E is [*]-Qualified ) = 100 <==> 100 * ( 3 Choose 3 ) * ( PP(L) ** 4 ) * ( QQ(L) ** 0 )) ============================================================================== 3 <==> II Impacted STAR EVENT Indices vs. Events with KCT = 33 ===> 5 35 68 3 Corresponding BINARY SUCCESS-FAILURE Indices ====> PPP % = 100.00 % 1 1 1 ============================================================================== Pr( The Next PPP BINARY SUCCESS will Occ. by Trial # 101 ) =100.00 % ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== (PP,QQ,PPP): .30000E-01 .97000E+00 .10000E+01 and 1/KCT = 1 / 88 ============================================================================== 1 TEST EVENT(s) were FILTERED from ============================================================================== CODE <======> GREEN MTC = 100 - 68 = 32 EVENT satisfies: II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII Code = GREEN ====> the gen. BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3]-[*]-Qualified ============================================================================== 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII PROB_MIN <=====> The Selected LOWER BOUND for PPP = .02 % ============================================================================== The NEXT SUCCESSFUL INTERSECTION should occur approximately 33 STAR EVENTS after IMPACTED STAR EVENT # 68 of 02/17/17 NEXT Projected Successful STAR EVENT : # 101 which should occur 1 STAR EVENT(s) from # 100 with TMAX <===> 1 where the requested interval for TMAX <===> [ 1 , 1 ] ============================================================================== Pr( SUCCESS of EVENT E ) 1 STAR EVENT(s) from FINAL STAR EVENT # 100 of 06/09/17 determined with PROB = 1.13 % Utilizing a NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION ============================================================================== Pr( E has SUCCESS # 3 at TRIAL # 4 ) = 29.63 % <==> 1 / 3 (apr.) ============================================================================== Characterizing this NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL Distribution ... The Current # of SUCCESSES = M0 = 2 and The Current # of Sequential TRIALS = JMAX = 3 IDELTA = 100 * Pr ( EVENT E is [*]-Qualified ) = 30 <==> 100 * ( 3 Choose 2 ) * ( PP(L) ** 3 ) * ( QQ(L) ** 1 )) ============================================================================== 3 <==> II Impacted STAR EVENT Indices vs. Events with KCT = 33 ===> 6 10 68 3 Corresponding BINARY SUCCESS-FAILURE Indices ====> PPP % = 29.63 % 1 1 0 ============================================================================== Pr( The Next PPP BINARY SUCCESS will Occ. by Trial # 101 ) = 29.63 % ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== (PP,QQ,PPP): .20000E-01 .98000E+00 .29630E+00 and 1/KCT = 1 / 135 ============================================================================== 1 TEST EVENT(s) were FILTERED from ============================================================================== CODE <======> GREEN MTC = 100 - 51 = 49 EVENT satisfies: II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII Code = GREEN ====> the gen. BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3]-[*]-Qualified ============================================================================== 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII PROB_MIN <=====> The Selected LOWER BOUND for PPP = .02 % ============================================================================== The NEXT SUCCESSFUL INTERSECTION should occur approximately 50 STAR EVENTS after IMPACTED STAR EVENT # 51 of 12/20/16 NEXT Projected Successful STAR EVENT : # 101 which should occur 1 STAR EVENT(s) from # 100 with TMAX <===> 1 where the requested interval for TMAX <===> [ 1 , 1 ] ============================================================================== Pr( SUCCESS of EVENT E ) 1 STAR EVENT(s) from FINAL STAR EVENT # 100 of 06/09/17 determined with PROB = .74 % Utilizing a NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION ============================================================================== Pr( E has SUCCESS # 3 at TRIAL # 3 ) = 100.00 % <==> 1 / 1 (apr.) ============================================================================== Characterizing this NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL Distribution ... The Current # of SUCCESSES = M0 = 2 and The Current # of Sequential TRIALS = JMAX = 2 IDELTA = 100 * Pr ( EVENT E is [*]-Qualified ) = 100 <==> 100 * ( 2 Choose 2 ) * ( PP(L) ** 3 ) * ( QQ(L) ** 0 )) ============================================================================== 2 <==> II Impacted STAR EVENT Indices vs. Events with KCT = 50 ===> 39 51 2 Corresponding BINARY SUCCESS-FAILURE Indices ====> PPP % = 100.00 % 1 1 ============================================================================== Pr( The Next PPP BINARY SUCCESS will Occ. by Trial # 101 ) =100.00 % ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== (PP,QQ,PPP): .20000E-01 .98000E+00 .10000E+01 and 1/KCT = 1 / 135 ============================================================================== 1 TEST EVENT(s) were FILTERED from ============================================================================== CODE <======> GREEN MTC = 100 - 51 = 49 EVENT satisfies: II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII Code = GREEN ====> the gen. BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3]-[*]-Qualified ============================================================================== 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII PROB_MIN <=====> The Selected LOWER BOUND for PPP = .02 % ============================================================================== The NEXT SUCCESSFUL INTERSECTION should occur approximately 50 STAR EVENTS after IMPACTED STAR EVENT # 51 of 12/20/16 NEXT Projected Successful STAR EVENT : # 101 which should occur 1 STAR EVENT(s) from # 100 with TMAX <===> 1 where the requested interval for TMAX <===> [ 1 , 1 ] ============================================================================== Pr( SUCCESS of EVENT E ) 1 STAR EVENT(s) from FINAL STAR EVENT # 100 of 06/09/17 determined with PROB = .74 % Utilizing a NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION ============================================================================== Pr( E has SUCCESS # 3 at TRIAL # 3 ) = 100.00 % <==> 1 / 1 (apr.) ============================================================================== Characterizing this NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL Distribution ... The Current # of SUCCESSES = M0 = 2 and The Current # of Sequential TRIALS = JMAX = 2 IDELTA = 100 * Pr ( EVENT E is [*]-Qualified ) = 100 <==> 100 * ( 2 Choose 2 ) * ( PP(L) ** 3 ) * ( QQ(L) ** 0 )) ============================================================================== 2 <==> II Impacted STAR EVENT Indices vs. Events with KCT = 50 ===> 26 51 2 Corresponding BINARY SUCCESS-FAILURE Indices ====> PPP % = 100.00 % 1 1 ============================================================================== Pr( The Next PPP BINARY SUCCESS will Occ. by Trial # 101 ) =100.00 % ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== ============================================================================== x x x CLASS 6/75 for STAT 1618 x x x ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 3 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 5 23 39 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 5 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 23 "s ----- ----------------------- 3). 1 39 "s ----- ----------------------- 1 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 215 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 3 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 4 30 33 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 4 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 30 "s ----- ----------------------- 3). 1 33 "s ----- ----------------------- 2 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 234 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 3 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 4 5 58 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 4 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 5 "s ----- ----------------------- 3). 1 58 "s ----- ----------------------- 3 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 389 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 12 38 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 12 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 38 "s ----- ----------------------- 4 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 779 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 25 25 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 2 25 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 2 25 "s ----- ----------------------- 5 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 887 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 18 32 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 18 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 32 "s ----- ----------------------- 6 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 1342 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 12 38 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 12 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 38 "s ----- ----------------------- 7 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 1620 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 3 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 5 6 56 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 5 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 6 "s ----- ----------------------- 3). 1 56 "s ----- ----------------------- 8 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 1714 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 4 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 16 17 19 23 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 16 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 17 "s ----- ----------------------- 3). 1 19 "s ----- ----------------------- 4). 1 23 "s ----- ----------------------- 9 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 1749 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 4 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 2 48 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 2 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 48 "s ----- ----------------------- 10 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 1827 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 12 38 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 12 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 38 "s ----- ----------------------- 11 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 2215 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 8 42 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 8 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 42 "s ----- ----------------------- 12 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 2295 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 3 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 4 30 33 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 4 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 30 "s ----- ----------------------- 3). 1 33 "s ----- ----------------------- 13 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 2337 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 3 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ============================================================================== with 2 Lexicographic STAR EVENT Index Displacements: [ S(i+1) - S(i) ] 16 34 ============================================================================== Index Frequency/Displacement: ----- ----------------------- 1). 1 16 "s ----- ----------------------- 2). 1 34 "s ----- ----------------------- 14 ). STAR <===> [*] on CYCLE # 2952 with TMAX = 1 and the 1-Event BLOCK in STAT94.INP is [3] or Greater [*]-QUALIFIED !!! w.r.t. Property 1, since TMAX = 1 lies in [ 1 , 1 ] and II = 2 .GE. 2 = MINII ============================================================================== ============================================================================== The SEQUENCE in STAT94.INP is a [3] or GREATER [*]-QUALIFYING BLOCK ==============================================================================